COVID-19: The Novel CoronavirusPage 5 of 10

3. Outcomes of COVID-19 Infection

The CDC believes at this time that symptoms may appear in as few as 2 days or as long as 14 days after exposure to the virus. This is based on what has been seen with the MERS virus (CDC, 2020j).

Treatment for COVID-19

There is no specific antiviral treatment recommended for COVID-19 and no vaccine or specific treatment for the infection is available. Patients should receive supportive care to help relieve symptoms. For severe cases, treatment should include care to support vital organ functions (CDC, 2020j).

Although supportive care is currently the only way to treat COVID-19, according to a CNN report, “several big biotech companies are hoping they can treat the symptoms with existing antiviral medications.” An experimental drug called remdesivir, used to treat the Ebola virus, is being tried in China to “see if the medication can combat the symptoms of coronavirus.” According to the U.S. biotech company Gilead, which makes the antiviral, remdesivir has “demonstrated some success in treating [animals exhibiting] MERS and SARS, two viruses similar to the Wuhan coronavirus” (CNN, 2020b).

The New York Times reported on February 7, 2020, that remdesivir was recently used to treat a Washington State COVID-19 patient who had suddenly worsened. The day after the medication was given, the patient’s symptoms reportedly improved. China is currently undertaking two clinical trials of remdesivir in association with Gilead (NY Times, 2020a).

Vaccines

Samples of the COVID-19 virus are arriving at laboratories in the United States and around the world and scientists are studying the virus to find ways to treat it, develop a vaccine, and ultimately stop it.

On March 16, 2020, CDC announced a Phase 1 clinical trial evaluating an investigational vaccine designed to protect against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has begun at Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute (KPWHRI) in Seattle. The vaccine is called mRNA-1273 and was developed by NIAID scientists and their collaborators at the biotechnology company Moderna, Inc., based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

The study is evaluating different doses of the experimental vaccine for safety and its ability to induce an immune response in participants. This is the first of multiple steps in the clinical trial process for evaluating the potential benefit of the vaccine.

Vaccines are the best way to stop the spread of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases, but traditionally they take years to develop and test. It took 20 months after the SARS outbreak to develop a vaccine, and by then the virus had died out. It took just 6 months to develop a Zika vaccine in 2015. Scientists are hopeful that this time they can build on previous knowledge to develop a vaccine rapidly (NY Times, 2020b).

According to a report from National Public Radio (NPR), “New genetic technologies and new strategies make researchers optimistic that they can shorten the (vaccine development) timetable to months, and possibly weeks—and have a tool by the fall that can slow the spread of infection” (NPR, 2020).

COVID-19 in Developing Countries

Scientists fear that an outbreak of coronavirus could devastate developing countries with poor healthcare systems.

According to a CNN report:

China is ranked 51 out of 195 countries globally for its outbreak readiness, according to the Global Health Security Index. That’s not on par with the wealthiest countries in the world, but far higher than many low-income nations. (CNN, 2020a)

And, from WHO:

Even though China has quarantined 60 million people, they are struggling to cope with the outbreak. If China is struggling, how will poorer countries with weak healthcare systems manage?” (WHO, 2020d)

The Cruise Ship Diamond Princess

On January 20, 2020, an 80-year-old man from Hong Kong boarded the cruise ship Diamond Princess when it docked in Yokohama, Japan. He disembarked in Hong Kong on January 25. Six days later he tested positive for COVID-19.

On the following February 4, ten passengers on the Diamond Princess were diagnosed with the virus and 3750 passengers and crew were quarantined aboard the ship when it returned to Yokohama harbor.

Passengers who became ill with COVID-19 were evacuated to local hospitals but the rest remained on board. At the end of the 14-day quarantine, the number of confirmed coronavirus cases exploded from 10 to 630. By the time the quarantine was over, the Diamond Princess had the greatest number of COVID-19 cases outside of China (McFall-Johnson, 2020).

According to Kentaro Iwata, an infectious diseases professor at Kobe University in Japan who visited the ship, he was “shocked” by the lack of infection control measures. “It was completely chaotic,” he said. He reported that he saw “passengers, crew members and medical professionals walking around the ship without wearing protective clothing” (ABC News, 2020).

Later, on February 17, American citizens who had been on the cruise ship were flown back to the United States. A charter flight carrying 177 American evacuees flew to Travis Air Force Base near Fairfield, California. Another plane with 151 people on board flew to Joint Base San Antonio-Lackland in San Antonio, Texas.

Although passengers had been told that anyone who was infected would remain in Japan, it was discovered before takeoff that around 14 of them had tested positive for the virus. The State Department made the decision (against CDC recommendations) to isolate the infected passengers on the same plane carrying the uninfected passengers and fly them home (Seattle Times, 2020).

Upon arrival at the military bases in the US, passengers were taken to several locations for another 2-week quarantine and those who were ill were taken to hospitals for care.